
#24 Iowa vs. #7 Penn State Prediction, Player Props & Odds: Sat, 9/23

Iowa swarms onto the field before a game against Western Michigan on Sept. 16, 2023 in Iowa City, Iowa. (Rob Howe/HawkeyeNation.com)
Week 4 of the college football season has arrived, and there are two major matchups this week. #6 Ohio State will travel to South Bend for a matchup against #9 Notre Dame, while #24 Iowa will head to Happy Valley for a Big Ten battle against #7 Penn State. In this preview, I broke down the matchup between the Hawkeyes and Nittany Lions and made an #24 Iowa vs. #7 Penn State prediction after nailing our best bet in the Western Michigan vs. Iowa game.
Let’s dive into the reasoning behind our best bet for tonight’s game and explain how you can fade or follow this prediction to unlock a $365 welcome bonus courtesy of Bet365 Sportsbook; no Bet365 promo code is required.
#24 Iowa vs. #7 Penn State PREDICTION: Under 40 (-110 at Bet365)
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#24 Iowa vs. #7 Penn State Predictions for Saturday, 9/23
Tonight’s matchup between Iowa and Penn State should be a classic Big Ten rock fight, and only the Minnesota vs. Northwestern matchup has a lower game total (39.5 points). However, the oddsmakers know what they’re doing, as both defenses have been fantastic through three games. The Nittany Lions and Hawkeyes are ranked inside the top 10 in opponent-adjusted-defensive-efficiency, and PSU has allowed just 11.67 PPG, while Iowa has given up just 12.33 PPG.
Now, it must be noted that neither team has faced a true test against a Top 25 opponent this season, but Penn State completely shut down West Virginia and Illinois (28 total points), while Iowa has allowed just one first-half touchdown this season. Not only has Iowa’s defense been strong, but their offense has struggled, which further suggests tonight’s matchup could be low-scoring. The Hawkeyes are outside the top 90 in the majority of offensive metrics, and they take a lot of time off the clock each play. Iowa averages 29.1 seconds in between offensive snaps, and this slow pace should lead to fewer offensive drives for the Nittany Lions.
However, this slow approach could lead to a spirited display from the Nittany Lions defense. This is a unit playing in front of its fans on one of the loudest nights of the season, so we expect them to be amped and defensive coordinator Manny Diaz will have his unit ready to attack the ball early and often.
Overall, our main #24 Iowa vs. #7 Penn State prediction is for tonight’s game to be low-scoring, so we’re backing Under 40 points (-110 at Bet365) as our best bet for the contest.
#24 Iowa vs. #7 Penn State Player Props and Free Picks Featuring Nicholas Singleton & Drew Allar
In addition to our #24 Iowa vs. #7 Penn State prediction, we have a few different Penn State player props to bet on tonight. The two players we’re targeting are Penn State RB Nicholas Singleton and QB Drew Allar. While we anticipate a low-scoring game tonight, we expect both teams to run the ball early and often. Singleton is the best RB out of Penn State's trio, and he already has five TDs this season. We expect him to find the endzone again tonight, so you should bet on Nicholas Singleton Anytime Touchdown (-120 at Bet365).
We understand if you don’t want to support any PSU players tonight, but we also have a wager that will help the Hawkeyes. Drew Allar to throw an interception (-115 at Bet365) could be a wager to back. The Sophomore QB has been perfect through three games, but this is the toughest defense he’s faced to date. He struggled at the start of last week’s game against Illinois but never turned the ball over. That could easily change tonight, so make sure you place your bets before 7:30 PM ET!
How to Bet on Under 40 at Bet365 and Get $365 Win or Lose No Matter What
You can fade or follow our #24 Iowa vs. #7 Penn State prediction to unlock a $365 sign-up bonus from Bet365 Sportsbook so long as you follow these steps:
- USE THIS LINK to create a NEW account at Bet365 Sportsbook
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After your $1 wager styles, you’ll receive $365 worth of bonus bets courtesy of Bet365 Sportsbook. Remember, you don’t need to use a Bet365 promo code, so make sure you join Bet365 before kickoff tonight!
#24 Iowa vs. #7 Penn State Odds & Betting Lines via Bet365 Sportsbook for Saturday, September 23rd, 2023
Before we made our #24 Iowa vs. #7 Penn State prediction, we reviewed the odds at Bet365 Sportsbook for tonight’s game in Happy Valley. Here they are:
- Point Spread: Iowa +15 (-110) vs. Penn State -15 (-110)
- Money Line: Iowa (+475) vs. Penn State (-650)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 40 (-110) vs. Under 40 (-110)
A $11 wager on Penn State -15 (-110 at Bet365) profits $10 if they win by 16+, while an $11 wager on Iowa +15 (-110 at Bet365) returns $10 of winnings if they pull off the upset or lose by 14 points or less. If PSU wins by 15, both sides of the point spread push, and all wagers are refunded.
An $11 wager on Under 40 (-110 at Bet365) profits $10 if there are 39 points or less, while an $11 bet on Over 40 (-110 at Bet365) returns $10 of winnings if the teams combine for 41+ points. No matter which #24 Iowa vs. #7 Penn State prediction you want to use tonight, make sure you join Bet365 today!
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